It's not jibing with New York, for example.
The @IHME_UW model vs reality for New York State, April 5. The model is less accurate than ever. 69K beds projected, 16.5K actually needed; 12,346 ICU beds projected, 4376 needed. Even better (tho not for the model), overall bed count rose less than 600 statewide - less than 4%. pic.twitter.com/TfjtOQNUtq— Alex Berenson (@AlexBerenson) April 5, 2020
And that's a good thing, as that model is more pessimistic.
It means Maryland, which now has two dozen deaths, might not get to the projected 1,766 in August, too. Let's hope.
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